Nā te ia whānui ka piki ake te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake i te tere toharite ā-tau o te 2.5% a meake nei.

Nā te ia whānui ka piki ake te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake i te tere toharite ā-tau o te 2.5% a meake nei.

Ahakoa kei te pōuri tonu te mākete i te koretake o te ōhanga, ka akiakihia e ngā au whanaketanga te tono mō te wā roa mō te penupenu rakau maha-mahi, e whakaputaina ana me te tika.ngā pouaka tiakarete koha

I te tau 2022, i raro i ngā pānga kino o te pikinga tere o ngā utu, te pikinga o ngā reiti huamoni me te pakanga i waenganui i a Rūhia me Ukraine, e matapaetia ana ka heke te tipu ōhanga o te ao. He pānga tika, he pānga ā-kore hoki tēnei ki te mākete penupenu rakau o te ao.

"Tērā pea ka puta he āwangawanga mō te wā poto i roto i te mākete penupenu rakau," te kī a John Litvay, he hoa mahi i te kamupene kōrero a Brian McClay & Associates (BMA).poihau tiakarete mā

I runga i te matapae mō te puhoi haere o te tipu ōhanga o te ao, i whakaitihia e te BMA tana matapae mō te tipu o te mākete penupenu rakau i te tau 2022 me te 2023. E matapaetia ana ko te tipu o te kai ka 1.7% ia tau.

E whakaae ana te Kaiwhakahaere Tohutohu Whakahaere AFRY, a Tomi Amberla, he uaua ake te tirohanga mō te wā poto i mua. Tērā pea ka heke te tono mō te penupenu rakau nā te pikinga o te utu, te puhoi o te tipu ōhanga me te āhua tōrangapū o te ao.pouaka tiakarete

"Ka rerekē te hiahia mō te penupenu i ia tau. He nui te pānga o ngā whanaketanga ōhanga whānui," tana kī.

te tipu me te pumau mō te wā roa

Heoi, e ai ki ngā tohunga, kāore anō kia rerekē ngā tūmanakohanga tipu mō te wā roa o te mākete penupenu rakau.

"E matapaetia ana ka piki te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau i roto i ngā tau 10 ki te 20 e whai ake nei i te tere toharite o te 2.5% ia tau," te kī a Litvay.

I roto i tētahi rangahau i te tau kua hipa mō te Federation of Finnish Forest Industries, i whakatau tata a AFRY ka tipu te mākete penupenu rakau o te ao i te tere o te 1-3% ia tau tae noa ki te tau 2035. I kī a Amberla kei te pono tonu taua whakatau tata.

I kī a Oliver Lansdell, te kaiwhakahaere o te kamupene tohutohu a Hawkins Wright, ko te tipu o te kai i te pepa kiko tetahi o ngā mea nui e akiaki ana i te tipu o te mākete penupenu rakau, inā koa i ngā mākete hou. Ko te nuinga o ngā pepa kiko he mea hanga mai i te penupenu mākete.ngā tohutao keke pouaka tiakarete

"Mō te wā roa, e matapaetia ana ka piki te hiahia mō te pepa tauera i te tere o te pikinga i waenganui i te 2% ki te 3% ia tau," tana whakatau tata.

Ko te ia whānui e tautoko ana i te tipu o te tono

He hononga tata tō te kai kiko ki ngā au nui pēnei i te noho tāone nui me te mana hoko a ngā kaihoko, e tipu tonu nei, inā koa i ngā ōhanga whakawhanake.

""Kei te tautoko ngā au nui o te ao i te tipu o te tono mō te penupenu rakau taketake, me te pikinga ake o te whakamahinga o ngā papa takai me ngā hua kiko. Mā tēnei ka waiho hei pūtake pakari mō te tipu o te tono mō te wā roa. Ko te tikanga, ka haere tonu te huringa mai i te tau ki te tau," te kī a Amberla.

Ko tētahi tauira pai o tētahi kāwai hua tipu ko ngā hua akuaku i hangaia mai i ngā kiko kiko, pērā i te pepa wharepaku, te pepa wharepaku, me ngā tauera.te pouaka tiakarete a Whitman

I taua wā anō, me te whakapainga ake o ngā paerewa oranga o ngā kainoho i roto i ngā ōhanga e tipu haere ana, kei te piki haere hoki te hiahia mō ngā pepa pepa me ētahi atu rauemi tākai. He maha ake ngā kaihoko e hoko kai tākai ana mai i ngā toa hoko kai, kaua ki te haere ki ngā toa hokohoko tuku iho.

E hiahia ana hoki te umanga hokohoko tuihono e tere tipu ana ki te nui ake o ngā rauemi tākai hei kawe i ngā hua.

Muka rakau hei utu mō te kirihou

I kī a Lansdell ko te nekehanga matomato o te ao mai i ngā rauemi mata pūmua kei te piki ake te tono mo te penupenu rakau. Me whakahou ake ngā rauemi rerekē, ā, me iti ake te tapuwae waro. Hei tauira, ko te umanga takai, e rapu ana i ngā otinga hei whakakapi i te kirihou i roto i ngā taputapu kai me ngā takai kai.

"Kei te titiro hoki te iwi ki ngā momo muka hei whakakapi i ngā pounamu kirihou. E hiahiatia ana ngā muka hangarua me ngā muka hou mō ēnei mahi. Tērā pea ka kite tātou i ētahi atu auahatanga e ahu mai ana i te muka rakau i roto i ngā tau torutoru e whai ake nei," tana kī.pouaka poroka tiakarete

Ko te mea e akiaki ana i tēnei whanaketanga ko ngā ture e aukati ana i te hanga hua mai i ngā pūtake parapara. Hei tauira, kua aukatia e te Kotahitanga o Ūropi ētahi hua kirihou kotahi te whakamahinga, ā, he maha ngā whenua kua aukati i te whakamahinga o ngā putea kirihou.

I tohu a Litvay, ka nui haere te hiranga o ngā muka kakahu i hangaia mai i te penupenu rakau i roto i te mākete kakahu o te ao a meake nei.

""Ka piki tonu te hiahia mō ngā muka kakahu e hangaia ana kia tauwhiro, i te mea ka whakakapia ngā rauemi e ahu mai ana i te hinu ki ngā momo rauemi kāore e kino ana ki te taiao. Hei tāpiri, kei raro i te pēhanga te whakatipu miro nā te mea he nui te wai e whakamahia ana, ā, e pau ana te wāhi e wātea ana mō te mahi kai," tana kī.rokiroki raraunga pouaka

E whakaae ana a Lansdell, ka tino puta te rongonui o ngā kakahu i hangaia ki ngā muka rakau i ngā tau e haere ake nei.

"He paionia nui a Finland i te whakawhanake i ngā hangarau hou. Ahakoa he nui tonu te utu mō te hanga, kei te heke haere ngā utu. He nui te whai wāhitanga. E hiahia ana ngā kaihoko, ngā kāwanatanga me ngā NGO ki ngā momo rerekē hei whakakapi i te polyester me te miro."

Te hiahia mō ngā hua penupenu rakau katoa

He pai ngā tūmanakohanga tipu mō ngā hua penupenu rakau katoa mō te wā roa, e ai ki a Amberla.

"Ka pā pai a Megatrends ki te tono mō te rakau ngohengohe kua mā, kāore hoki i mā, me te penupenu rakau mārō."

Ko ngā tono pēnei i te kiko, ngā rauemi tākai me te pepa tari e hiahiatia ana he rakau ngohengohe kua whakamaua me te penupenu rakau mārō. Ko te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau kāore i whakamaua e ahu mai ana i te tākai, e tika ana hei kawe i ngā taonga hokohoko ipurangi me te kai.

"Kei te piki haere te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau kāore i whakama i te mea he here kawemai a Haina mō te pepa hangarua. I roto i te hanga papa takai, me whakakapi te muka hou," te kī a Litvay.pouaka ohaurunga mō te pō whakatā

Te Whakatipu Kākāriki o te Ao mai i ngā Rauemi Mata o te Parapara

Kei te piki ake te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau nā te panonitanga.

E matapaetia ana e mātou i roto i ngā tau 10 ki te 20 e whai ake nei,

Ka piki ake te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau i te tere toharite o te 2.5% ia tau.

 Te Arotahi ki te Tipu ki ngā Mākete Āhia

 Ā tōna wā, ka nui haere te hiranga o te tūranga o Haina i roto i te mākete penupenu rakau o te ao. Kua piki ake te wāhi o Haina ki te mākete e kai ana i te penupenu ki te 40%.

"Kua tino nui kē te umanga pepa me te papa pepa o Haina, ā, ka tipu tonu i roto i ngā tau torutoru e whai ake nei, engari he puhoi ake te tere. Heoi anō, tera pea kāore e ranea ngā muka o te whare," te kī a Lansdell.ohaurunga pouaka rā

Haunga Haina, kei te piki haere hoki te hiahia mō te penupenu rakau i roto i ētahi atu ōhanga e tipu haere ana. Hei tauira, kei te tipu haere ngā akomanga waenga o Initonīhia, Vietnam, me Īnia, ahakoa kei ngā taumata whanaketanga rerekē.

E matapaetia ana e te Indian Paper Manufacturers Association (IPMA) ka piki te whakamahinga pepa a Īnia mā te 6-7% i roto i ngā tau torutoru e whai ake nei.

"I ngā rohe o te ao e tere tipu haere ana te taupori, he iti noa te rakau e tukuna ana. Ko te penupenu mākete te momo rauemi mata tino ohanga mō ngā mira pepa o te rohe, nā te mea ehara i te mea ohanga te kawe i ngā hua pēnei i te pepa kiko i te moana," te kī a Amberla.

Ko te hekenga o te nui o ngā muka hangarua kounga teitei nā te hekenga o te whakamahinga o te pepa tā me te pepa tuhituhi i Ūropi me Amerika Te Raki i akiaki i te tono o te ao mō te penupenu rakau, e ai ki tāna.

"I roto i te hanga hua hou, me whakakapi te pepa hangarua kāore e taea te tiki ki te muka hou."

Te pikinga ake o ngā pikinga o te mākete penupenu rakau

Kāore i te ngāwari te matapae i ngā utu o te penupenu rakau, ā, i kī a Amberla he wero anō te pikinga o te pikinga o te pikinga o ngā utu. Ko te take nui o tēnei ko Haina tētahi o ngā kaihoko penupenu rakau nui rawa atu o te ao.

"He whakaaro noa iho te mākete penupenu rakau o Haina. Nā te nui o ngā piki me ngā heke o ngā hua o ngā mira penupenu rakau o te rohe, ka nui ake te piki me te heke o te kaha whakaputa penupenu rakau o Haina."

Ina iti ngā utu mō ngā rauemi rakau o te kāinga me ngā maramara rakau kawemai, he pai tonu te pupuri i ngā mira kia tere tonu te mahi. Mō ngā rauemi mata utu nui, he nui ake te penupenu arumoni e whakamahia ana mō te hanga pepa i Haina.pouaka pō whakaipoipo

Nā ngā panonitanga o te tuku penupenu rakau o te ao kua kaha ake te piki me te heke o te mākete penupenu rakau o te ao. I kī a Amberla he nui ake te kino o ngā ohorere tuku i ngā wā tata nei mō ētahi take.

Kua whakararuraru te mate urutā COVID-19 i ngā mekameka whakaputa me te tuku taonga i ētahi wheketere i Amerika Te Raki me ētahi atu wāhi. Nā te noho puku i ngā tauranga nui me te korenga o ngā ipu i ētahi wā kua pāngia hoki ngā tuku para.

Kei te pāngia hoki te mākete penupenu rakau e te huringa āhuarangi. Hei tauira, kua whakararu ngā āhuatanga huarere rerekē i ngā mahi a te wheketere whakaputa i Kanata, ā, nā ngā waipuke me ngā horo whenua i puta mai i ngā ua nui i te tau kua hipa i whakararu i ngā hononga rori me te tereina i British Columbia.