Maitiro aya ari kuwedzera kudiwa kwehuni, izvo zvinotarisirwa kukura neavhareji yegore negore ye2.5% mune ramangwana.
Kunyange hazvo musika uchiramba wakafukidzwa nekusagadzikana kwehupfumi, maitiro aripo acharamba achikurudzira kudiwa kwenguva refu kwehuni dzinogadzirwa nemabasa akawanda uye dzinoshanda zvakanaka.mabhokisi echokoreti echipo
Muna 2022, nekuda kwekukanganisa kukuru kwemitengo, kukwira kwemitengo yemubereko uye kusawirirana pakati peRussia neUkraine, kukura kwehupfumi hwenyika kunotarisirwa kudzikira. Izvi zvinewo mhedzisiro yakananga uye isina kunanga pamusika wepasi rose wehuni.
"Panogona kunge paine kusagadzikana kwenguva pfupi mumusika wehuni." akadaro John Litvay, mubatsiri wekambani yekupa mazano Brian McClay & Associates (BMA).bhokisi rechokoreti chena
Zvichibva pakufungidzira kwekuderera kwekukura kwehupfumi hwenyika, BMA yakaderedza zvaitarisirwa kuti musika wehuni uchakura muna 2022 na2023. Kukura kwekushandiswa kwehuni kunotarisirwa kuva 1.7% pagore.
Mutungamiriri weAFRY Management Consulting Tomi Amberla anobvumirana kuti tarisiro yenguva pfupi inonetsa kupfuura kare. Kukwira kwemitengo, kuderera kwekukura kwehupfumi uye mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika pasi rose zvinogona kukonzera kudzikira kwekudiwa kwehuni.chokoreti yebhokisi
"Kudiwa kwembeu kunochinja gore rega rega. Zvinokanganiswa zvikuru nekufambira mberi kwehupfumi," akadaro.
kukura kwenguva refu uye kugadzikana
Zvisinei, nyanzvi dzinoti tarisiro yekukura kwenguva refu kwemusika wehuni haina kuchinja.
"Tinotarisira kuti mumakore gumi kusvika makumi maviri anotevera, kudiwa kwehuni kuchakura neavhareji ye2.5% pagore," akadaro Litvay.
Muongororo yakaitwa gore rapera kuFederation of Finnish Forest Industries, AFRY yakafungidzira kuti musika wepasi rose wehuni uchakura ne1-3% pagore kusvika muna 2035. Amberla akati fungidziro iyoyo ichiri yechokwadi.
Oliver Lansdell, mutungamiriri wekambani yekupa mazano kuHawkins Wright, akati chinhu chikuru chinoita kuti musika we pulp yematanda ukure ndiko kukura kwekushandiswa kwepepa rematishu, kunyanya mumisika iri kusimukira. Mapepa mazhinji ematishu anogadzirwa ne pulp yemusika.mabikirwo ekeke rechokoreti
"Mukufamba kwenguva, tinotarisira kuti kudiwa kwepepa remapepa kuchakura ne2% kusvika 3% pagore." Akafungidzira kudaro.
Maitiro ese anotsigira kukura kwezvinodiwa
Kushandiswa kwenyama kunobatanidzwa zvakanyanya nekukura kwemaguta uye simba rekutenga zvinhu, izvo zvichiri kukura, kunyanya munyika dziri kusimukira.
"Makambani makuru pasi rose ari kutsigira kukura kwezvinodiwa zvehuni dzemhando yepamusoro, nekuwedzera kushandiswa kwemapuranga ekurongedza uye zvigadzirwa zvematishu. Izvi zvichapa hwaro hwakasimba hwekukura kwezvinodiwa kwenguva refu. Ehe, pacharamba paine kutenderera kwegore negore Kusagadzikana, "akadaro Amberla.
Muenzaniso mukuru wechikamu chezvigadzirwa zvinokura zvinhu zvehutsanana zvakagadzirwa nematishu, zvakaita sepepa rechimbuzi, bepa rechimbuzi, nemachira ekucheka.bhokisi rechokoreti raWhitman
Panguva imwe chete, nekuvandudzwa kwemararamiro evagari munyika dziri kusimukira, kudiwa kwemapuranga emapuranga nezvimwe zvinhu zvekurongedza kuri kuwedzerawo. Vatengi vakawanda vari kutenga chikafu chakapetwa muzvitoro zvegrocery pachinzvimbo chekuenda kumisika yechinyakare.
Indasitiri yekutenga online iri kukura nekukurumidza inodawo zvinhu zvakawanda zvekurongedza kuti zvitakure zvigadzirwa.
Faibha yehuni pachinzvimbo chepurasitiki
Lansdell akati kuchinja kwepasi rose kubva pakushandisa zvinhu zvechinyakare kuri kuwedzera kudiwa kwehuni. Zvimwe zvinhu zvinofanirwa kugadziriswazve uye kuve nekabhoni shoma. Semuenzaniso, indasitiri yekurongedza, iri kutsvaga mhinduro dzekutsiva purasitiki mumidziyo yekurongedza inoraswa uye chikafu.
"Vanhu vari kutsvagawo dzimwe nzira dzekushandisa fiber panzvimbo pemabhodhoro epurasitiki. Fiber dzese dzinodzokororwa uye itsva dzinodiwa pakushandisa izvi. Tichaona zvimwe zvitsva zvinobva mufiber yematanda mumakore mashoma anotevera," akadaro.bhokisi redatya rechokoreti
Izvi zviri kuitwa nemutemo unorambidza kugadzirwa kwezvinhu zvinobva muzvisaririra zvematongo. Semuenzaniso, European Union yakarambidza zvimwe zvigadzirwa zvepurasitiki zvinoshandiswa kamwe chete, uye nyika zhinji dzakarambidza kushandiswa kwemabhegi epurasitiki.
Litvay akataura kuti machira akagadzirwa nematanda achave nebasa rakakosha mumusika wepasi rose wemachira mune ramangwana.
"Kudiwa kwemachira anogadzirwa nenzira inochengetedza nharaunda kucharamba kuchikura sezvo zvinhu zvinobva mumafuta zvichitsiviwa nezvimwe zvinhu zvisingakuvadzi nharaunda. Pamusoro pezvo, kurimwa kwedonje kuri pasi pekumanikidzwa sezvo kuchishandisa mvura yakawanda uye kuchishandisa nzvimbo iripo yekugadzira chikafu,” akadaro.kuchengetera data rebhokisi
Machira akagadzirwa neshinda dzehuni achabudirira zvikuru mumakore anotevera, anodaro Lansdell.
"Finland inzvimbo huru mukugadzira matekinoroji matsva. Kunyangwe kugadzira kuchiri kudhura, mitengo iri kuderera. Mukana wacho wakakura. Vatengi, hurumende nemasangano asiri ehurumende vanoda dzimwe nzira dzekugadzira kwete polyester nedonje."
Kudiwa kwezvinhu zvese zvehuni zvepulp
Zvigadzirwa zvese zvemapuranga zvine mukana wekukura kwenguva refu, akadaro Amberla.
"Megatrends ichaita kuti pave nemhedzisiro yakanaka pakudiwa kwehuni dzakacheneswa nedzisina kucheneswa nematanda ehuni akaomarara."
Kushandiswa kwakadai sematishu, zvinhu zvekurongedza uye bepa rehofisi kunoda huni dzakapfava dzakacheneswa uye huni dzakaoma. Kudiwa kwehuni dzisina kuchena kunokonzerwa nekurongedza, izvo zvinodiwa kutakura zvinhu zvekutenga online pamwe nechikafu.
"Kudiwa kwemapuranga emapuranga asina kucheneswa kuri kuwedzera nekuda kwemitemo yekupinza pepa rinodzokororwa neChina. Mukugadzirwa kwemabhodhi ekurongedza, faibha itsva inofanira kutsiviwa," akadaro Litvay.bhokisi rekunyorera manheru ekusangana
Kurima Pasirose Kubva kuZvinhu Zvisina Kugadzirwa
Kuchinja uku kuri kuwedzera kudiwa kwehuni dzakagadzirwa nemapuranga.
Tinotarisira kuti mumakore gumi kusvika makumi maviri anotevera,
Kudiwa kwehuni dzemhando ye pulp kuchakura neavhareji ye2.5% pagore.
Kukura Kwakatarisana neMisika yeAsia
Mune ramangwana, China ichaita basa rakakosha mumusika wepasi rose we pulp yematanda. Chikamu cheChina chekushandiswa kwe pulp pamusika chakwira kusvika pa40%.
"Bhizinesi remapepa nemapuranga muChina ratova rakakura uye richaramba richikura mumakore mashoma anotevera, asi zvishoma nezvishoma. Zvisinei, panogona kunge pasina kukwana kwefiber yemuno," akadaro Lansdell.kunyoreswa kwebhokisi rezuva
Kuwedzera kuChina, kudiwa kwehuni mudzimwe nyika dziri kusimukira kuri kuwedzerawo. Semuenzaniso, Indonesia, Vietnam, neIndia zvese zvine vanhu vepakati nepakati vari kukura, kunyangwe vari padanho rakasiyana rebudiriro.
Sangano reIndian Paper Manufacturers Association (IPMA) rinotarisira kuti kushandiswa kwemapepa muIndia kuchakura ne6-7% mumakore mashoma anotevera.
"Munzvimbo dziri kukura nekukurumidza pasi rose, huni hadzina kuwanda. Musika wevhu ndiwo unodhura zvakanyanya kushandiswa kugadzira mapepa emuno, nekuti hazvina mari yakawanda kutakura zvinhu zvakaita sepepa remapepa mugungwa." Amberla akadaro.
Kudiwa kwepasi rose kwehuni kwakakonzerwawo nekuderera kwehuwandu hwefiber yepamusoro-soro inoshandiswazve nekuda kwekuderera kwekushandiswa kwepepa rekudhinda nekunyora muEurope neNorth America, akadaro.
"Mukugadzira zvigadzirwa zvitsva, bepa risingawanikwe rinogona kudzokororwa rinofanira kutsiviwa nefaibha itsva."
Kuchinja-chinja kuri kuita musika wehuni
Kufanotaura mitengo yemapuranga emiti hakuna kumbobvira kwava nyore, uye Amberla akati kukwira kwemitengo kunowedzera matambudziko. Izvi zvinonyanya kukonzerwa neChina kuva imwe yevatengi vakawanda pasi rose vemapuranga emiti.
"Musika wemapuranga emiti wekuChina une fungidziro. Nekuda kwekushanduka-shanduka kukuru kwezvinobuda mumichina yemapuranga emiti yemuno, kukura kwesimba rekugadzira mapundu emiti muChina kuchawedzera kusagadzikana."
Kana mitengo yezvinhu zvekugadzira matanda epamba uye machipisi ematanda anotengwa kunze kwenyika yakaderera, zvinobatsira kuchengetedza zvigayo zvichishanda zvizere. Kana zvinhu zvekugadzira zvinodhura, pulp yakawanda inoshandiswa kugadzira mapepa muChina.bhokisi rehusiku hwekufambidzana
Kuchinja kwekuwanikwa kwemapuranga emiti pasi rose kwawedzera kuchinja-chinja kwemusika wemapuranga emiti pasi rose. Amberla akati kushomeka kwemafuta munguva pfupi yapfuura kwave kwakanyanya kupfuura zvakajairika nekuda kwezvikonzero zvakati wandei.
Denda reCOVID-19 rakakanganisa kugadzirwa kwezvinhu uye kutengeswa kwezvinhu mune mamwe mafekitori kuNorth America nedzimwe nzvimbo. Kuzara kwevanhu muzviteshi zvikuru uye kushomeka kwemakontena dzimwe nguva kwakakanganisawo kutumirwa kwemidziyo yekudya.
Kuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze kuri kukanganisawo musika wehuni. Mamiriro ekunze asina kujairika akakanganisa mashandiro emafekitori ekugadzira muCanada, semuenzaniso, uye mafashamo nekudonha kwevhu kwakakonzerwa nemvura yakawanda gore rapfuura kwakakanganisa migwagwa nenjanji muBritish Columbia.
Nguva yekutumira: Chivabvu-22-2023
